Dale Thomas had the ball on a string against St Kilda. Source: Getty Images
DALE Thomas, Lance Franklin, Jobe Watson, Matt Priddis and more are tumbling in price — let's go shopping!
The key to building a successful SuperCoach team is to use the money generated from your cheap picks at the start of the year to pick up proven stars.
Think of it like the stockmarket — sell high, buy low.
That means trading in rookies when they have reached their maximum price, and buying stars when they are cheap due to a drop in form, injury or other unforeseen circumstances.
With rookies reaching their ceiling now is the time to look at who we can bring into our line-ups, and the good news is there is a list of big names available at bargain prices.
Here's our quick guide of who to buy, who to sell and when.
1. STARS FOR SALE
Dale Thomas (Coll) $428,200 mid/fwd, average 73, break-even 48 (season price change -$87,600)
Heath Shaw (Coll) $504,400 def, av 97, BE 47 (-$36,900)
Verdict: Can throw in a poor score every now and then but a proven premium for years. Back him in.
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel) $571,000 mid, av 106, BE 80 (-$65,000)
Verdict: Has struggled a little so far this year but a 177 last weekend shows what he's capable of. Won't get any cheaper.
Andrew Swallow (NM) $562,000 mid, av 116, BE 78 (-$23,100)
Verdict: Has a lowest score of 90 this season so is set to go back up in price after this weekend. In just 6 per cent of teams, making him a unique midfield option.
Marc Murphy (Carl) $551,400 mid, av 106, BE 100 (-$51,500)
Verdict: Was a good price in Round 1 and even cheaper now. Found his mojo against the Dees.
Lance Franklin (Haw) $512,000 fwd, av 86, BE 205 (-$106,000)
Will be available for less than $500,000 after another tough match against Sydney this week. Save some cash then jump on before he plays Gold Coast, Melbourne and GWS.
SUPERSTAR RADAR
These guns will all be cheap in the next month — look at those break-evens!
Matt Priddis (WC) $485,000 mid, av 91, BE 173 (-$103,300)
Jobe Watson (Ess) $595,800 mid, av 114, BE 165 (-$51,400)
Joel Selwood (Geel) $598,200 mid, av 116, BE 166 (-$31,300)
Brett Deledio (Rich) $554,200 mid, av 103, BE 184 (-$69,900)
Grant Birchall (Haw) $545,100 def, av 108, BE 188 (-$38,700)
Ivan Maric (Rich) $530,600 ruck, av 100, BE 160 (-$76,300)
Lance Franklin hasn't kicked a goal for three weeks, but that might change when he plays lower sides. Source: The Advertiser
2. CASH COWS READY FOR SLAUGHTER
To the money to buy the above players (even at reduced prices) we need to sell our cash-generating rookies — ideally, when they are at their highest possible price.
To get the timing right watch for when a player's break-even goes above their average.
Ollie Wines (Port) $369,300 mid, av 91 BE 65 (profit $199,800)
Verdict: Seen by some as a potential keeper but scores are slowly slipping and the kid must be getting tired. Good for a couple more games but look at making a move around the byes. Should be an easy move up to one of the premiums listed above.
Jack Viney (Melb) $198,700 mid, av 59, BE 62 (profit $89,200)
Verdict: Should keep playing but price will plateau. Consider trading.
Sam Dwyer (Coll) $250,700 fwd/mid, av 64, BE 59 (profit $154,500)
Verdict: Trade time! Could lose his place in the Pies' team if Didak or Fasolo return.
Luke Brown (Adel) $196,700 def, av 46, BE 59 (profit $61,200)
Verdict: Hasn't made much money and won't make any more based on current form. Brenton Sanderson loves him though so he might be valuable cover while other defenders are out.
Campbell Heath (Port) $272,000, av 68, BE 49 (profit $156,100)
Verdict: Just about topped out. Ripe for trading.
Jake Neade (Port) $284,800 fwd, av 70, BE 36 (profit $168,900)
Verdict: Could go up a little more but nearly due for a rest. Trade window is open.
Lewis Stevenson (Port) $272,900 def, av 67, BE 34 (profit $157,000)
Verdict: Last weekend's score was his worst for the year. If he bounces back to around his average he's good for a couple more weeks. Another good trade option when the byes roll around (Rounds 11-13).
Jasper Pittard (Port) $235,700 def, av 76, BE 21 (profit $107,700)
Verdict: Still has money-making potential but no guarantee to play this weekend due to injury. Might have to trade him early or get a zero.
Nick Kommer (Ess) $193,600 mid, av 60, BE -33 (profit $84,100)
Verdict: Lowest break-even of the lot says there is more cash to come, but watch selection on Thursday night — the Bombers have a lot of players to come back and he might miss out.
Jack Viney clears out of the middle. Source: Herald Sun
3. BARGAIN BIN
Most of us won't have enough cash in the bank to trade straight from Viney to Thomas, for example, so the crucial third piece of the puzzle is finding cheap players to execute the classic SuperCoach double-trade: Trade one rookie out for a cheap player about to go up in price, and use the cash to turn a second rookie into a superstar.
Unfortunately, there aren't a lot of players putting up their hand to take spots on our bench. Here's the best of what's available:
Sam Docherty (Bris) $115,900 def, games 2, av 54, BE -39
Verdict: Was dropped last week but responded with a best-on-ground performance for the Lions reserves. High draft pick should be a gun — if we can trust Michael Voss to give him a decent run.
Jack Hannath (Frem) $109,000 ruck, games 2, av 58, BE -50
Verdict: Hasn't posted big scores but should keep playing with Sandilands and Bradley out. Could make you some cash by trading down Sam Rowe or Mark Blicavs.
Justin Clarke (Bris) $115,900 def, games 2, av 52, BE -34
Verdict: A key defender promoted off the rookie list who has looked at home in his first two outings. See above concerns re Voss but looks a safe bet. Random fact: Could be flying fighter jets but the air force knocked him back because he is too tall.
Aaron Black (NM) $212,600 fwd, games 2, av 86, BE -44 (87, 84)
Verdict: Has been excellent so far but North have a lot of tall forwards to choose from. Some job security issues and a high price for a rookie.
Nick Vlastuin (Rich) $159,500 def/mid, games 2, av 56, BE -15
Verdict: Impressive against the Cats (72 points) which should keep his spot safe for now. Comes with vest concerns and the extra price tag that comes with being a top-10 draft pick. Dal-position a plus.
Young St Kilda defender Nathan Wright. Source: Getty Images
Nathan Wright (StK) $156,700 def, games 4, av 48, BE -15
Verdict: Price hasn't changed much after four games so he's still gettable. Don't expect to make a big profit off him but he should keep playing — and he hasn't been the sub yet.
Jesse Lonergan (GC) $139,500 mid, games 1, av 46, BE -8
Verdict: Ideally wait another week to get a good look at him since his price won't change until his third game but there are huge wraps on this kid.
Zack Williams (GWS) $96,200 mid, games 2, av 32, BE -5
Verdict: Dirt cheap but scored just 17 as the sub last weekend. Might not play again for a while.
Sam Kerridge (Adel) $153,900 fwd/mid, games 3, av 52, BE 6
Verdict: Has a role as a defensive forward which should keep him in the team but won't score much.
Josh Saunders (StK), $109,500 fwd/mid, games 2, av 25, BE 17
Verdict: His average says it all. Pass.
Ben Kennedy (Coll), $109,500 fwd/mid, games 1, av 24, BE 18
Verdict: Showed plenty of toe when subbed on late against the Saints. Wait to see if he keeps his spot before committing.
Jaryd Cachia (Carl) $118,200 mid, games 1, av 25, BE 21
Verdict: Could be a left-field choice if he stays in the side. Mature-anger who dominated in the SANFL last season. Not this week but add to your watch-list.
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